Are you a trained scientist? Most people have to say “no” to that question. Still, here is a problem in evolutionary biology that you can certainly understand. After all, I never even took high school biology and I can find the glaring flaw in an argument I heard earlier this month.
I traveled south for Easter Sunday weekend, spending several hours on the freeways of California. There are long stretches of Highway 99 where there's not much to listen to on broadcast radio. However, while surfing the AM dial, I heard a talk-show host asking a guest about Tiktaalik roseae, the recently discovered fossil that is an important transitional form between sea life and land animals.
The radio program turned out to be Kresta in the Afternoon from Ave Maria Radio. Eponymous host Al Kresta was talking to Dr. Fazale Rana, a chemist with a Ph.D. from Ohio University. Rana goes by the folksy nickname “Fuz” and is a member of the “scholar team” at Reasons to Believe, an organization whose mission is to demonstrate the compatibility of science and the Bible. As this information began to trickle out, it was pretty easy to tell where the discussion was headed.
I couldn't find an on-line archive of Kresta's program. Fortunately, I do not have to rely solely on my memory to do justice to Fuz Rana's argument concerning Tiktaalik because his points are provided in his own words in a Reasons to Believe press release. My direct quotes are all from that source. Rana's thesis is very straightforward:
If Tiktaalik is a transitional intermediate, it means that evolution from fish to land-dwelling animals must have happened in less than 10 million years. When evolutionary biologists claim that the transition from sea to land is that fast-paced, it raises very real questions about evolution as an explanation for life's history....How did Rana come to this conclusion? As he explained to Kresta, Tiktaalik has been dated to approximately 375 million years ago. However, continued Rana, scientists believe that it could be a transitional form that was succeeded by Acanthostega and Acanthostega has been dated to 365 million years ago.
Rana's argument assumes that (a) the dates are firm and (b) ten million years is too brief a time for significant evolutionary changes. I won't argue point (b) because I don't know enough about rates of evolution to challenge it (although ten million years seems like a significant amount of time to me). I will, however, point out a problem with (a). It's very simple:
Species do not exist at single points in time. They exist in intervals of time. A species can survive for many millions of years. Fossils, however, do exist at points in time, each representing a particular animal whose lifetime was an invisible dot on the timeline of life on earth. Rana is failing to regard fossils as single representatives of their species rather than as the species themselves.
When we treat species as continua, existing over extended periods of time, we see immediately the extreme artificiality of Rana's objection. Without any assumptions concerning the rate of evolutionary change, it's clear that Rana's supposed 10-million-year period could easily have been much longer.
Although Rana works for an organization that begins with conclusions and works backward from there, he's not shy about criticizing more traditional scientists:
Evolutionary biologists have made up their minds before they even examine the data. They are so convinced that evolution is a fact they are unwilling to carefully weigh the evidence.Perhaps, Fuz, you are the one who needs to examine the evidence more carefully. Would you like more time?