tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15868947.post7685516197046639990..comments2023-10-29T06:41:23.910-07:00Comments on Halfway There: Bernie-Bot mathZenohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09058127284297728552noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15868947.post-46912437730605212442016-08-30T02:31:50.883-07:002016-08-30T02:31:50.883-07:00And now we have the Trumpettes and GOPers claiming...And now we have the Trumpettes and GOPers claiming all the polls are wrong, and that they have a grand chance for a landslide victory over Hillary Clinton.<br /><br />What is it about being behind that just completely robs campaigns of math, statistics and reasoning skills? Ed Darrellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10056539160596825210noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15868947.post-25965783680858044912016-05-31T09:11:34.043-07:002016-05-31T09:11:34.043-07:00Brown continues to enjoy high support levels among...Brown continues to enjoy high support levels among California voters, so his endorsement is considered a plus. Probably not a big one, though. Still, it helps Clinton stem the efforts of the Sanders campaign to depict their candidate as closing fast. One recent poll has Sanders only two points behind, but other recent polls give Clinton a big margin. Zenohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09058127284297728552noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15868947.post-69298216714932820612016-05-31T08:42:59.835-07:002016-05-31T08:42:59.835-07:00I hear that Jerry Brown just endorsed Hillary. How...I hear that Jerry Brown just endorsed Hillary. How much, if at all, do you think that will influence the California primary outcome?Kathienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15868947.post-79884182811850716882016-04-17T08:19:59.635-07:002016-04-17T08:19:59.635-07:00The New York Times tally actually has Sanders at 1...The <i>New York Times</i> tally actually has Sanders at 1087, not 1296. In any case, the numbers vary depending on source. For example, Politico's delegate tracker currently says Clinton has 1758, Sanders has 1076, 158 are uncommitted, and 1931 remain to be chosen. That totals up to 4923, suggesting that a majority would be 2462 rather than widely published 2383. I presume conflicting reports and delegate waffling may have something to do with the ambiguities, which should diminish with time. The bottom line, however, remains the same: Bernie's supporters (some of them, anyway) are embracing completely bogus math. The numbers do <i>not</i> favor him.Zenohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09058127284297728552noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15868947.post-30056696062781825262016-04-16T07:56:25.414-07:002016-04-16T07:56:25.414-07:00If Clinton has 1776, Sanders has 1296 and there ar...If Clinton has 1776, Sanders has 1296 and there are 1959 still to be decided (a total of 5031), how can 2383 be enough to win?Ciarannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15868947.post-58059819327244185762016-04-15T21:24:37.728-07:002016-04-15T21:24:37.728-07:00This "momentum" jazz is an election-year...This "momentum" jazz is an election-year perennial, but highly unreliable. I think Sanders is stressing it because he has no better argument. The numbers are leaning strongly against him.Zenohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09058127284297728552noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15868947.post-79768409384211376102016-04-15T20:52:35.671-07:002016-04-15T20:52:35.671-07:00MATH GUY!!!! I can't do the math you can do, b...MATH GUY!!!! I can't do the math you can do, but I can do percentages and read polls. Sanders is counting on a "momentum" based on states that Clinton didn't fight for because she knew he was going to win them. All she has to do is tie him from here on out and she wins the pledged delegates. She has an advantage in larger states. so she can lose a few smaller ones. An overall tie puts her ahead of him... and it isn't cheating if the party chooses her over him because she actually supports the party while he's having a tantrum in the corner. Improbable Joehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00388199130147075176noreply@blogger.com